OPEC and US supply: OPEC released its monthly oil market report yesterday, which showed that OPEC output totalled 30.81MMbbls/d over January, down 797Mbbls/d month-on-month. The group also lowered its demand growth estimate for 2019 by 50Mbbls/d to 1.24MMbbls/d. It estimates that demand for OPEC crude oil will fall by 240Mbbls/d over 2019 to 30.6MMbbls/d.
The Financial Times reported yesterday that Saudi Arabia plans to reduce oil output to 9.8MMbbls/d in March, which is well below their agreed output level of 10.3MMbbls/d, as well as their January output level of 10.2MMbbls/d.
Finally, the EIA released its latest Short Term Energy Outlook yesterday, revising higher its US supply growth estimates for 2019 from 12.1MMbbls/d to 12.4MMbbls/d, whilst its 2020 estimate was increased from 12.9MMbbls/d to 13.2MMbbls/d.
US crude oil inventories: The API reported yesterday that US crude oil inventories declined by 998Mbbls over the last week, this compares to market expectations for an inventory build of around 2.4MMbbls. It also reported a 746Mbbls build in gasoline, which was less than the 1.17MMbbls increase expected, while the 2.48MMbbls draw in distillate fuel oil was larger than the 1.67MMbbls draw expected. The EIA is scheduled to release its weekly report later today.